Friday, April 29, 2005

you don't and you won't and you can't stop

just got out of a whirlwind recruiting trip, second trip to Atlanta in two weeks. had six interviews with a software company (my first choice). everything about it lines up with my ideal job: small technology company (300 people), growing fast (30-40% cagr), venture-capital backed, CEO has a great track record, industry that matters (healthare) and would be working for an HBS alum. doesn't get much better than this.

i should hear back by Monday!

just to keep things moving, i'm signing a lease on a new apt ( a phat loft in Inman Park) today, then flying back to Boston, my band (King Friday) is playing a show at the Kong tonight, and then i'm driving at 5:00 AM to Dartmouth to play in the MBA world cup.

whew.

Sunday, April 24, 2005

the soon-to-be mrs. skywalker


Katie_Balboa_Reflecting_Pond
Originally uploaded by Dee Sanchez.
here's katie at the balboa reflecting pond in san diego.

mom, pops + bro


the fam at the xmas
Originally uploaded by Dee Sanchez.
and here's the swiss family patels: sunir, dad, and mom (from this past christmas morning). sunir lives in phoenix and works for the fender musical instrument company. he has the coolest job in the world. a large part of his job includes playing different guitars and reading music magazines. mom and dad live in montgomery, oh.

moms

i'm a big fan of mom jokes. four moms in particular receive the brunt of my jokes:
  1. mrs. treves (will's mom): for being slutty
  2. mrs. adams (august's mom): for being fat
  3. mrs. grossman (kenny's mom): for being slutty and fat
  4. mrs. hunter (hunter's mom): for being hunter's mom
i would post pics but this is a family-friendly blog.

sneak peak of king 5riday

here's a good shot of the whole band from last friday's gig. that's me in the yellow fro.

flickr officially kicks picassa's ass.

multi purpose gerbil


gerbil
Originally uploaded by Dee Sanchez.
my friend andy gave me an awesome birthday gift. no, not my own multi purpose gerbil, but the next best thing: a t shirt with this mpg on it.

the end of mom & pop stores? (fancy-pants-business-speak version)

for those who care to hear more, i've pasted the summary section from my paper on the dry cleaning industry...

Dry cleaners operate a fundamentally sound business model at the unit level that produces stable cash flows (~ $100,000 free cash flow/year) with predictable capital expenditure. The cost structure, consisting mostly of fixed assets with low variable costs, leads many store operators to test the possibility of scaling their business by adding more stores. Indeed, many of the immigrants who make up the dry cleaning industry have experienced a common process when attempting to add multiple stores, finding their efforts stalling out around two or three stores. Some of the very factors that enable their success in starting the business seem to hinder it when trying to scale it. In fact, many of these factors revolve around family and ownership issues.

When starting the business, the way first-generation Americans (FGAs) leverage their ethnic community to raise capital and learn the business greatly enhances their performance. However, it seems that later in the business lifecycle, family and ownership factors tilt the odds away from successfully running multiple stores. These family owned and operated businesses tend to rely on informal management mechanisms, such as leveraging familial capacity (i.e. the number of family members that can help run the store), personally handling customer claims, managing payables (taxes, vendors), and maintaining quality. These methods cost little, conserve cash, and are easily implemented. However, the complexity of running multiple stores eventually strains these control systems. Operators find it increasingly difficult to find enough talented staff, competition erodes prices, and the owner finds himself/herself spread too thin. In addition, family commitments, such as taking the kids to school, amplify the demands on the owner-operator’s time. Consequently, many FGA operators either avoid adding more stores or stall out in their attempts to do so. In comparing operators who have added multiple stores, three variables appear to predict successful scaling: appetite for some degree of formal controls, familial capacity, and access to smart capital.

In other industries, entrepreneurs seeking to scale their operations obtain smart capital from professional investors who can lend management expertise in addition to financing. Immigrant communities have in some ways recreated this market, albeit in a much more informal way, as entrepreneurs raise capital from friends and family within their ethnic community. These friends and family are often in the business (e.g. dry cleaning, gas station, motel) themselves, and will train the new entrepreneur, provide seed capital, and help him/her acquire a store. The quality of mentorship and advice that the entrepreneur receives varies widely and hinges on his/her personal network. In looking to increase the odds of FGA operators successfully scaling their business, this paper also examined a potential model for professional investors to get involved in the dry cleaning business. However, initial analysis did not reveal a viable way to inject traditional “smart money” through value-added investors (e.g. private equity roll up) to overcome these factors. A roll-up model may provide attractive returns on assets and invested capital in theory, but finding a suitable exit would prove difficult. While considerable opportunity exists to enhance performance, traditional investing models will need rethinking. Private equity investors do not typically write million-dollar checks—they simply have too much capital to effectively add value to their portfolio of companies unless they concentrate on the handful of most promising ventures. In contrast, perhaps future analysis should look for community-level investors who can provide value-added capital. As many FGA operators belong to the Baby Boom generation, they will retire en masse in the next 5-10 years, creating a significant purchase opportunity for those investors.

Saturday, April 23, 2005

the end of mom & pop stores? (plain-speak version)

i'm often conflicted by my personal preference for patronizing mom & pop stores that have a neighborhood feel and my business inclination to build highly scalable, customer-centric stores that use technology to deliver convenient services in a highly efficient way. whew, that's what two years of business school will do. i sound like a complete corporate robot.

in light of that conflict, i just completed a four month study of first-generation American-Indians in the dry cleaning industry. it was by far one of the most interesting things i've done at school. while i confirmed a few hypotheses, the experience also opened my eyes to the challenges immigrants face in starting their own business here. Along the way, some great people helped me:
  • the seven Indian families who made up my sample set
  • todd krasnow, hbs alumnus, venture capitalist, co-founder of staples, and co-founder of Zoots, Inc, a very innovative dry cleaning chain
  • john davis, a harvard university professor who focuses on family business research (he was my faculty advisor for the project)
the long and short of it is that enormous opportunity exists in the dry cleaning industry. there are no big players and most of the mom & pop shops stick to the basics. their approach works well when they have one store, not so well when they have multiple stores. as a result, results vary widely. maybe someone with solid operating experience and capital could enhance these stores and still keep it "in the community" (as opposed to a national chain).

as professional investors look for new businesses to fund, i thought that immigrant-run companies could be a viable avenue. the explosion in women-run businesses (106% growth over the last decade, roughly) suggests that maybe white dudes don't have all the answers. additionally, a lot of second and third generation indians have realized the benefits of studying and working in America, and are now looking to invest in their community.

at the end of the day, i found it difficult to generalize a strategy for making this happen. i also confronted a more vexing question: are we bound to have cities full of chains that diminish local flavor and continue building homogeneity? if well-funded corporations take over mom & pop chains, where will immigrants work?

obviously the trend towards homogeneity (wal-mart, starbucks, etc) is here. consumers like dependability, predictability, and low prices. however, when i venture to the atlanta suburbs, the endless chains of strips malls amid bumper to bumper traffic disgusts me. some questions this phenomenon presents:
  • will anything combat this trend of homogeneity, or is it inevitable?
  • what role should community and municipal level government take in shaping development?
  • if consumers really want dependable, consistent goods & services, is having rows of strip malls really such a bad thing?

some pics from the latest gig

some pics from king 5riday's latest gig:
  • tgif gig pics


  • (yup, that's me in the yellow fro)

    long tail

    i'm a big believer in the long tail. check out the link on the sidebar. for the tech geeks and/or musicians reading i'm interested to hear what you think. shit, even the consultants may find it interesting, as the long tail challenges a common business principle (the Pareto Principle, named after economist Vilfredo Pareto, who observed that 20% of the population of Italy owned 80% of the land. It has since been applied to many other scenarios, namely music sales, movie sales, theory of constraints, and process management).

    pick a job, any job

    so i gotta pick a job this week. i have three offers on the table and am waiting to hear from one more:
    1. go back to at booz allen (consulting firm, where i was before grad school)
    2. work at a small boutique consultancy that focuses on healthcare
    3. special projects assistant to the president of a (large, $2B revenue) operating company
    4. (still don't know if i have an offer) software company that makes products for hospitals. it's about 300 people, venture-backed and may IPO in 18-24 months. the job is a mix of business development and general management.

    intersted in to hear your comments about which one i should take. all of these companies are in atlanta.

    thebigday.com

    i'm getting married on june 25 in atlanta. most of you already know my best friend and fiancee, katie fowler. there's no arguing that i'm out of my league with her...but she seems ok with it!


    check out our wedding site: www.katieandsahilthebigday.com. i built it last summer with some help from my best friends august and kenny, both of whom have great skills and can probably tame a liger.


    a lot of people ask about the status of the wedding plans. they're in fine shape from my perspective. i don't think weddings are that hard to plan, they just take a lot of organization and staying on top of 3-4 things every week. and that's what spreadsheets are for!!! we're actually in the most painful phase: the minutia of the actual weekend. some things are labor-intensive and very time consuming:
    • writing point to point directions
    • detailing the actual ceremony
    • making centerpieces (on which katie is doing a great job)
    • making invitations (thanks to katie and her girls)
    • addressing invitations (my fiancee the superwoman taught herself caligraphy!)
    katie and i are designing our own wedding ceremony along with dr. bobbi patterson. bobbi was my college advisor at emory and has remained a close friend and mentor since then. were thrilled when she agreed to officiate the wedding (bobbi has divinity degree from harvard and is an ordained episcopalian priest). we are combining select aspects of hindu and western wedding ceremonies. stay tuned as it develops.

    king 5riday rocks tgif

    my band, king 5riday, played at the tgif event yesterday on harvard's campus (where i'm a graduate student). the show went really well, as the boston weather cooperated for once (sunny and warm instead of the usual cold and rainy) for the outdoor show. we rocked 8 original songs for our class mates + 500 newly admitted students (it is new admit weekend). they were probably there for the free beer more than anything else.

    thanks to our friends for being there. special thanks to emily waldorf for setting up the sound company and jon frank for taking great pics. major thanks to the VCO and Outdoors clubs for sponsoring the event.


    king 5riday is:
    • marius (lead guitar and vocals)
    • reed (drums)
    • minesh (rhythm guitar)
    • me (bass + some back up vocals)
    we play all originals all the time. we first came together last year in an orchestra pit for a musical and we've never stopped playing together. we've been writing our own music for the last year. i've really enjoyed the chemistry and creative process we developed.


    each of us bring something different to the band. marius is far and away the heart & soul of king 5riday. he is one of the most talented musicians i've ever met and has a great knack for beautiful melodies. reed kicks ass on the drums, plain and simple. he plays with a style that calls on a lot of classic rock and heavier stuff, too. minesh always brings great guitar harmonies--if you hear a soulful, ringing arpeggio, chances are that minesh wrote it. i'm more of a heavy metal guy, esp. with my bass playing. i like to think i keep marius from sounding too much like a folk rocker :) marius and i take turns writing the lyrics.

    who is wintermute?

    wintermute is a character in Neuromancer, one of my favorite books. The author, william gibson, is a hugely influential sci-fi author who coined the term "cyberspace" (gibson actually credits ray bradbury's book The Veldt with first describing a virtual world). special thanks to my childhood friend eli for introducing me to william gibson in sixth grade.

    wintermute lives

    welcome to my blog
    I'm looking forward to finally getting this blog up and running. For now, a lot of the content will revolve some major stuff happening in my life in the next two months:
    • choosing a job (sometime next week)
    • moving from boston (may 9)
    • moving to atlanta (sometime in mid may)
    • graduating from business school (june 9)
    • getting married (june 25)
    i like lists, as you can see. even better, bullet-pointed lists. What I really like better: lists in spreadsheets :)

    so read on.